Bitcoin may have already bottomed — and investors waiting for the traditional four-year cycle could be watching the wrong signal.
In this interview, on-chain analyst James Check explains why he believes Bitcoin has already gone through the capitulation needed to form a bear-market bottom, why long-term holders are sending an important signal, and why he thinks dips could increasingly be bought rather than rallies sold.
We also challenge the bull case, discuss whether a short squeeze could simply be another bear-market rally, James’ personal Bitcoin DCA strategy, and why he has zero exposure to altcoins.
Finally, James explains why he believes Bitcoin’s famous four-year-cycle “compass” is broken — and what investors should watch instead.
00:00 Has Bitcoin Already Bottomed?
01:27 The TWO Capitulations That Changed Everything
04:19 Is This Just Another Bear-Market Rally?
06:13 James Check Pushes Back on the Bear Case
08:51 The On-Chain Signal Bulls Are Watching
10:41 James Check Reveals His Bitcoin Strategy
13:11 The Bitcoin Price Where He’d STOP Buying
14:21 What Would Prove His Bitcoin Thesis Wrong?
15:46 Could Altcoins OUTPERFORM Bitcoin?
16:38 Why James Check Is Done With Altcoins
20:51 How Many Altcoins Does He Own?
20:55 Bitcoin’s Four-Year Cycle Is BROKEN?
21:27 Why the Old Bitcoin “Compass” No Longer Works
24:40 Does Bitcoin Still Have Cycles?
26:22 Final Thoughts
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #BitcoinPrice #CryptoMarket #Investing #OnChain
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